Remove Images16 Reasons Why Governor Linda Lingle is Doomed Plus three reasons why she’ll probably win after all October 12, 2006 1It's nearly impossible for working people making the average income in Hawai`i to afford to buy a house. Yet mainland developers are making a killing building condos, timeshares and estates for rich people to use as vacation homes. For the first three years of her administration Governor Linda Lingle did virtually nothing on affordable housing, and now she's doing little more than paying it lip service. 2Lingle's a Republican, and they're none too popular these days: This year Republican Congressman Randy "Duke" Cunningham of California pled guilty to felony bribery; Bob Ney of Ohio pled guilty to felony corruption; Mark Foley of Florida resigned after allegedly inappropriate sexual contact with 16-year-old House pages; and, of course, former House Majority Leader Tom DeLay of Texas resigned to fight charges alleging felony bribery and conspiracy. Now House Speaker Dennis Hastert of Illinois looks like he's in serious jeopardy since he apparently knew a great deal about Foley's problem for at least a year before he bothered to do anything about it. In January, the scandals involving uber-GOP lobbyist Jack Abramoff, who was convicted of fraud and conspiracy, hit home when Lingle chose to give back the $4,000 in campaign contributions she took from him. And then there's President George W. Bush, whose mindless prosecution of the Iraq War is turning even retired army generals against him. Republicans across the country are looking at what political science types call a "disaffected base"—traditional GOP voters who just stay home on Election Day. For Lingle, that's not good. 3Challenger Randy Iwase is a very smart guy who knows the issues. Take this statement he recently sent out to the press on Oct. 5: "Leadership in education is about providing the appropriate level of funding for our public schools. Take for example the proposal in 2004 by this governor to cut 163 special education teaching positions despite the fact that it would have caused the Department of Education to violate the federal Felix consent order. Governor Lingle cut the education budget proposed by the Board Education by 68 percent and only asked for $40 million to fix our public schools despite a $500 million backlog in school projects. That is not leadership in education!" 4Republicans had low turnout in Hawai`i's primary election, which is likely to repeat in the general election. Lingle won her party's nomination on Sept. 23 with just 31,211 votes—less than half of what she gathered in the 2002 primary. There were also 58,685 blank votes in the Democratic race for governor. While Maui News City Editor Edwin Tanji dismissed those in a recent column as probable Lingle votes—though he provided no evidence to back up his assertion—state and county Democratic Party officials instead see them as Democrats who voted for Senator Daniel Akaka but didn't know what to do in the governor's race. Now that the Democrats are lining up behind one candidate, they see those blank votes as going to Iwase. When you add all this to the fact that Lingle didn't exactly blow out Mazie Hirono back in 2002—Lingle's margin of victory was a mere 4.5 percent, or just 17,362 of 376,656 votes cast—there's ample reason to think the race between Lingle and Iwase will be closer than many people think. 5While it's not the Lingle Administration's fault that the Ka Loko Dam on Kauai burst on March 14, killing seven people, it is the administration's fault that until the tragedy the state Department of Land and Natural Resources failed to inspect any of the state's many earthen dams, the vast majority of which date to the old sugar plantation days. Stuff like that makes a bitter mockery of Lingle's insistence that her administration "prepared for natural or man-made emergencies." 6Iwase is a wily pol with extensive government experience. At various times in his life he's worked as a deputy Attorney General, Honolulu City Councilman, Aloha Tower Development Corporation Executive Director, State Senator (D, Mililani) and chairman of the Hawai`i Labor and Industrial Relations Appeals Board. He's ran in—and won—many previous elections. 7Iwase seemed much more vibrant, spirited and, well, alive during the Oct. 6 Governor's Debate. Iwase spoke passionately about the tough times facing working people in the state, while Lingle looked dazed and spoke in an emotionless monotone as she insisted the state was doing fine and U.S. troops had to stay in Iraq until a "functioning democracy" took over—a dream few dispassionate analysts say was ever possible. 8Homelessness is bad in Hawai`i and seems to be getting worse. Though Lingle likes to say her administration "has cared" for homeless people—in May 2006 she signed three bills spending $40 million on homeless programs—the problem has been getting worse. In fact, one out of every 50 people who live on the Wai`anae Coast is homeless. "Considering a population of the Wai`anae Coast, which is a little under 50,000, to have somewhat close to 800 or so homeless, that's a pretty high density," Wai`anae Community Outreach coordinator Michael Ullman said in the Aug. 31, 2006 Honolulu Advertiser. "It's probably one of the higher densities certainly in Hawai`i and probably in the country." 9There are simply more Democrats in the state than Republicans. 10In late September 2005, Lingle showed how she's made state government "more transparent, open and responsive" by completely botching the 28th District state representative nomination. After 19-year legislator Kenneth Hiraki resigned to go shill for Hawaiian Telcom, it fell on Lingle to replace him with another Democrat, as the law requires. So she picked Bev Harbin, who not only wasn't actually a Democrat, but also had three convictions for writing bad checks in 1987 and owed $125,000 in back taxes. Lingle said she knew none of this when she made the nomination, and ultimately called upon Harbin to resign, which she naturally refused to do. In the Sept. 23 Primary Election, authentic Democrat Karl Rhodes finally solved the problem Lingle created by handily beating Harbin's reelection bid. 11Lingle often uses the argument that the state Legislature often refuses to work with her administration, but she's done her own bit to bypass them. In late December 2005, state Auditor Marion Higa reported that the Lingle Administration had created 934 jobs—$30 million worth—within the executive branch without getting legislative authorization by liberally interpreting hiring procedures. The administration said they had to go around the Legislature to ensure "flexibility," but Higa didn't buy it. "Since it's the Legislature's responsibility to appropriate money," Higa said in the Dec. 28, 2005 Honolulu Advertiser, "if they knew where this $30 million was, they might have chosen to spend it in a different way." 12Lingle gives the impression that she cares more about the welfare of her party than what's best for the state. For instance, she knew all about Republican state Representative Galen Fox's (23rd District) December 2004 arrest for allegedly fondling a woman sleeping next to him on a flight from the Aloha State to LAX immediately after it happened, but chose to say nothing. Well, not really nothing: in June 2005—four months before a judge eventually convicted Fox of misdemeanor sex crime, forcing his resignation—Lingle told the Honolulu Advertiser that Fox was "a thoughtful and strategic leader." 13Remember the Gasoline Price Cap? Yes, we all know it didn't work—gas prices in Hawai`i—and especially Maui—were high before the cap, during the cap and after the cap got dropped. Lingle railed against it from Day One, though she never offered any immediate solution to high prices at the pump (her support for alternative fuel vehicles won't amount to anything for years). Through it all, her reelection campaign somehow found the time to cash tens of thousands of dollars in contributions from Big Oil. 14William Aila, the Wai`anae Harbor Master who lost the Democratic Party nomination for governor to Iwase, wasted no time in endorsing his former rival. That move does a lot to reassure environmentalist Democrats worried about Iwase's pro-labor, pro-development background. 15Lingle has spent an astonishing amount of time fundraising during her term in office—and not just for her reelection effort. In the spring of 2005, the state Legislative asked the state Ethics Committee to look into Lingle's many trade missions to Asia. Specifically, they wanted to know why so many companies had paid a total of more than $800,000 for trade missions. But the committee refused, saying they could only act after receiving a complaint, which in this case they never got. 16Unlike Lingle, Iwase is so serious about appealing to young people that he's got his own MySpace page: www.myspace.com/iwase4gov. And he's got 169 friends! Now that's not as many as, say, the Jim Rose Circus (www.myspace.com/jimrosecircus), which has 12,715 friends, but it's still more than Linda Lingle who, the last time I checked, had zero friends. MTW |